title: Macroeconomics
slug: macroeconomics
summary: Real-time macroeconomic forecasting, vintage reconstruction, and policy-shock analysis with public-source adapters.
research_question: How do release revisions and information available at each vintage affect nowcast and forecast quality?
why_it_matters: Vintage-aware evaluation prevents revised data from leaking into historical forecasts and overstating real-time performance.
research_fields:
  - Macroeconomics
  - Forecasting
  - Policy analytics
project_type: research-replication
status: public-live
authors:
  - Repository owner and maintainer
original_source: Macroeconomics workspace project
original_sample_period: Defined by each configured source and vintage archive.
updated_sample_period: Updated when a documented public-data refresh is released.
data_sources:
  - FRED and ALFRED public observations
  - BLS and BEA public APIs under guarded live-access settings
  - Synthetic fixture datasets in data/fixtures/
data_license: RIGHTS_UNKNOWN for raw third-party snapshots; included fixtures are publishable examples.
code_license: Project-local terms; third-party components retain their own licenses.
reproduction_command: python -m macro_nowcast.pipeline
expected_runtime: Varies by source configuration and backtest horizon.
outputs:
  - src/
  - reports/
  - scripts/
  - tests/
  - data/fixtures/
  - config/
github_url: https://github.com/YangXiaoShawn/open-economic-quant-macroeconomics
site_url: https://yangxiaoshawn.github.io/projects/macroeconomics/
dataset_url: https://huggingface.co/datasets/ShawnChamberlain/open-economic-quant-research-data/tree/main/Macroeconomics
space_url: https://huggingface.co/spaces/ShawnChamberlain/open-economic-quant-research-observatory
last_updated: 2026-08-10
limitations: Real-time claims require an audited vintage source. Current BLS and BEA API observations are labeled latest-revised and are not presented as historical first releases.
catalog:
  field: macro
  accent: blue
  tags:
    - Nowcasting
    - Vintage Data
    - Policy Forecasting
  metric: Guarded public adapters